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APC vs PDP: Future Perspectives After 2015 Elections

APC vs PDP: Future Perspectives After 2015 Elections

The outcome of the 2015 elections have changed the APC vs PDP dynamic. Naij.com guest author Umar Sa'ad Hassan, a Kano-based lawyer, says the two most notable and prominent political parties of Nigeria should both consider a new course of action for our country's ultimate benefit.

Because things are the way they are, things will not stay the way they are. — Bertolt Bretcht

Even the most effective of anemometers would find it hard to place the exact speed at which the winds of change are blowing across our great nation, Nigeria. In the course of just two weekends, a party that ruled us for 16 years and prided itself as the 'Only True National Party' was banished with applause for its matured concession of defeat as the only farewell gift. On second thought, I would call it a storm. A storm too strong for an umbrella.

Nigerians have finally gotten the change they have been yearning for, and it came in the form of the APC. This 'change' has charted new courses for our two most prominent parties, the APC and the PDP.

When the majority of all the opposition parties formed the APC in February 2013 in a bid to end the PDP's (mis)rule, not a few people predicted a break-up before the elections because of the ego packed in an average Nigerian politician. But quite remarkably, it held on and grew in leaps and bounds even after the influx of the nPDP members, armed not only with their own egos but with GMGs ('Ghana must go's'). And the party has now earned the fruits of its labour. Due credit must go to its leader, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, for his role.

With the APC having reached its first goal, a greater task lies ahead: running the party after success.

A thorough review of GMB's political career will prove he doesn't mingle in party affairs. It didn't come as a suprise to many when he distanced himself from the current Senate presidency and House speakership imbroglio. With the many alliances, adoptions and renouncements going on, you wouldn't want to be Asiwaju right now. He is saddled with overseeing a party portraying itself as capable of developing cracks in the shortest possible time, and a president-elect who seems to have a 'Do not disturb' tag on his door knob. GMB has always been his own man and doesn't quite strike you as one who would concede easily to what doesn't sit well with him to allow peace reign. He has already fired a warning shot by turning down a ministerial list reportedly sent by the APC governors. The very same attributes the APC composed songs about could very well turn out to be what will haunt its members.

With a leader who seems more concerned about his duty to the Nigerian people than the concept of an 'ideal party man', and one cautious about throwing his weight in key affairs in the typical fashion of the Nigerian political heavyweight, it would take a lot of skill to keep the troops united and happy. In the words of Winston Churchill: "The problems of victory are more agreeable than those of defeat, but they are no less difficult".

Welcome to the real world, APC, change is indeed here.

The PDP, on the other hand, has found it rough to cope with its new status: the watchdog, or opposition. The finger-pointing and blame-trading were expected, but the absurdity and intensity accompanying them wasn't.

We woke up to hear that GEJ has demanded that all unused campaign funds be returned to the party's coffers to evidence of the NWC of the party disbursing those funds among themselves, and the most ridiculous, Fayose alleging the chairman sold the party out to the APC.

The president seems frustrated behind the scenes, and the party chairman looks to be the scapegoat of choice. The PDP certainly haven't been handling their defeat well.

However, GEJ must understand that his last actions as the party's leader have far-reaching consequences, especially as he still cannot convince the party to make him the BoT chairman.

Adamu Mu'azu is not popular among the PDP-faithful at the moment and looks set for the exit, with Liyel Imoke, the outgoing Cross River state governor, being touted as his likely successor. With GEJ's the BoT aspiration as good as shot down, wholesale changes to the way the party is run are expected.

Quite a number of prominent members have come out, to say that much.

According to my calculations, the next party chairman should be produced by South-west, but Imoke is most favoured in the event of a Mu'azu exit. This is a pointer to the fact that new major players in the party, the South-east and South-south, will make that status count.

The two chairmen who have served under GEJ spent more time keeping him happy than overseeing the affairs of the party, with one managing to cause irreparable damage to it.

It remains to be seen whether the party appreciates the importance of appointing a 'mobilizer' capable, for starters, of ensuring no one gets disgruntled by the implications of the power shift. It's a good thing there hasn't been massive defection to the APC in their ranks, at least not yet.

The wind of change has blown, leaving things upturned for both parties in its wake. Things are not the same.

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The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the original author. These views and opinions do not necessarily represent those of Naij.com, its editors or other contributors.

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